Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-3
Barras vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
CAC
3 - 2
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
4DE
0 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
PIC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ABC
4 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 4
ABC
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABC
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |