Barras vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
PIC
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAC
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
COR
1 - 3
BAR
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
4DE
3 - 2
PIC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
COR
0 - 0
4DE
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
4DE
4 - 2
PIA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
4DE
2 - 1
RIV
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAC
2 - 0
4DE
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |