Piauiense Inicial Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Barras vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 3
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 1
PIA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
REM
2 - 0
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
5 - 1
PDS
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 5
4DE
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 3
4DE
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
4DE
6 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
3 - 2
4DE
36%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |