Barras vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 6
COR
11%
18%
71%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
22%
26%
53%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 1
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 2
BAH
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
4DE
6 - 3
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
4DE
29%
24%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
4DE
3 - 0
PIA
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
4DE
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 3
4DE
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |