Barranquilla vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAT
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
UNI
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
RSC
1 - 0
UNI
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 1
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |