Barranquilla vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 0
BAR
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
TFC
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 3
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
BUC
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAB
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 1
UNI
34%
31%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |