Barranquilla vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 4
AGU
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
SAB
3 - 1
BAR
36%
26%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
REA
3 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALI
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
RSC
1 - 3
UNI
47%
29%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
RSC
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
RSC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RSC
3 - 2
REA
54%
27%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
RSC
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |