Barracas Central vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
PLA
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
BAR
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
CCO
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
BAR
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 3
CHA
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 3
DAL
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
SUA
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SUA
0 - 2
STM
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |