Barracas Central vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
HUR
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GLP
2 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
IRV
1 - 3
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 2
TAL
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
INS
1 - 2
ARG
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
INS
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
INS
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
HUR
37%
29%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |