Barracas Central vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 1
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
BEL
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 0
BAR
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
IRV
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2020 |
AGR
2 - 0
BAR
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GBR
0 - 1
BEL
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
IRV
0 - 0
GBR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GBR
4 - 2
MIT
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 0
GBR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
GBR
0 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |