Barracas Central vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 3
IRV
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
RAC
0 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
RIV
3 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
HUR
0 - 1
BAR
41%
30%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAU
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
DYJ
2 - 0
ALD
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 0
DYJ
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DES
1 - 2
DYJ
9%
18%
74%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
CRZ
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
DYJ
1 - 2
CEL
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |