Barracas Central vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
TIG
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BOC
1 - 0
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
BAR
44%
29%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAD
1 - 2
DEF
23%
30%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DEF
2 - 1
EST
42%
31%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEF
31%
31%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DEF
0 - 0
TAL
54%
29%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
43%
29%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |