Barracas Central vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
28.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 1
BAR
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
GBR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
INS
43%
29%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
QUI
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
INS
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 2
DEF
43%
31%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |