Barracas Central vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
GBR
0 - 2
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
FEN
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 1
BAR
32%
30%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
STM
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 2
AGR
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
SJO
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SJO
0 - 0
ALV
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ALV
4 - 2
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
ALV
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |