Barra Mansa vs Paduano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
CDA
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BON
0 - 0
BAR
63%
23%
14%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAR
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
MAG
3 - 3
BAR
21%
21%
59%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
PFC
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
MAG
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
0 - 2
PAD
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AME
4 - 1
PAD
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 2
AME
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |