Barra FC vs Hercílio Luz analysis

Barra FC Hercílio Luz
38 ELO 44
-8.3% Tilt -7.4%
2723º General ELO ranking 2488º
78º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
28.5%
Barra FC
24.3%
Draw
47.2%
Hercílio Luz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Barra FC
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.2%
Win probability
Hercílio Luz
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barra FC
+72%
-21%
Hercílio Luz

ELO progression

Barra FC
Hercílio Luz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barra FC
Barra FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2017
CAC
Concórdia
2 - 0
Barra FC
BAR
54%
23%
23%
39 45 6 0
06 Aug. 2017
GUA
Guarani de Palhoça
0 - 0
Barra FC
BAR
75%
16%
10%
38 53 15 +1
02 Aug. 2017
BAR
Barra FC
0 - 1
Operário Mafra
MAF
52%
22%
27%
39 36 3 -1
30 Jul. 2017
CAM
Camboriú FC
2 - 2
Barra FC
BAR
71%
17%
12%
39 50 11 0
23 Jul. 2017
BAR
Barra FC
3 - 0
Jaraguá
JAR
72%
16%
12%
38 22 16 +1

Matches

Hercílio Luz
Hercílio Luz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2017
HER
Hercílio Luz
0 - 1
Fluminense SC
FFC
73%
16%
11%
45 25 20 0
06 Aug. 2017
HER
Hercílio Luz
1 - 0
Marcílio Dias
MAR
42%
26%
32%
44 46 2 +1
03 Aug. 2017
JUV
Juventus SC
1 - 1
Hercílio Luz
HER
37%
26%
38%
44 38 6 0
30 Jul. 2017
HER
Hercílio Luz
7 - 1
Jaraguá
JAR
75%
15%
10%
44 22 22 0
23 Jul. 2017
CAC
Concórdia
1 - 1
Hercílio Luz
HER
41%
25%
34%
44 44 0 0