Barra FC vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 6
BAR
24%
22%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAM
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 6
BAR
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
FFC
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
JUV
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 4
GUA
12%
20%
69%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
1 - 2
GUA
12%
19%
70%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAC
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |