Barra do Garças FC vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra do Garças FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NOX
1 - 2
BAR
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
URO
1 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
AAC
56%
22%
21%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PRI
1 - 2
BAR
16%
20%
63%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOX
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 1
MGR
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
5 - 2
RON
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRA
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MGR
3 - 4
VIL
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |