Baronie vs Woezik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VLI
1 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
IFC
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
NUE
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BVC
1 - 0
BAR
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Woezik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WOE
2 - 0
GEM
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
EHC
4 - 3
WOE
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OSS
2 - 2
WOE
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
WOE
2 - 4
UDI
42%
22%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
HAL
3 - 0
WOE
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |