Baronie vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOP
2 - 3
BAR
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 3
OSS
15%
20%
64%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VLI
3 - 2
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
HAL
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 1
UDI
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OSS
2 - 1
GEM
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GEM
3 - 2
GRO
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 1
GEM
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 2
DON
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |