Barockstadt vs FC Erlensee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barockstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
SGB
9%
16%
74%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SGB
0 - 2
NEU
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EIN
4 - 0
SGB
32%
23%
46%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SGB
5 - 0
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAU
3 - 3
SGB
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FCE
6 - 0
STE
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NEU
2 - 1
FCE
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FCE
1 - 1
EIN
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
FCE
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FCE
2 - 0
BAU
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |