Barnstaple Town vs Millbrook analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
8.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnstaple Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
BAR
7%
12%
80%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
AFC
61%
18%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAL
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
ILF
0 - 3
BAR
29%
20%
51%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AFC
5 - 4
BAR
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ILF
5 - 3
MLB
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 0
MLB
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
MLB
0 - 0
TOR
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SHE
3 - 0
MLB
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KEY
2 - 1
MLB
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |