Barnsley vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COV
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
BIR
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
OPA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 2
NTT
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NTT
2 - 0
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
MID
2 - 1
NTT
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
NTT
1 - 1
WAT
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
NTT
0 - 2
BUR
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |