Barnet vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 0
SCA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
STE
2 - 1
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 3
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
EBB
1 - 3
BAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 3
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
STE
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
STE
2 - 1
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 3
STE
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
STE
3 - 2
EXE
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
STE
0 - 2
WOK
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |