Barnet vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
EAS
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
BAR
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
5 - 0
ALT
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
WEL
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KID
1 - 1
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WRE
1 - 0
KID
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 3
KID
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KID
0 - 1
GRI
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |