Barnechea vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACS
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ULC
3 - 0
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
SWA
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
COB
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
OHI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |