Barnechea vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CSL
3 - 2
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 4
UCH
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
HUA
4 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
BAR
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
UCO
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
OHI
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
OHI
2 - 2
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |