Barnechea vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CDM
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DCO
1 - 1
BAR
37%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
USF
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 3
DLS
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
USF
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
USF
0 - 0
CSL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
USF
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CSD
0 - 1
USF
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
USF
4 - 3
COQ
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |