Barnechea vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 2
BAR
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 3
USF
52%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ULC
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
NUB
1 - 1
DLS
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
CSD
0 - 0
NUB
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NUB
1 - 0
VAL
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
USF
1 - 0
NUB
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NUB
2 - 0
PUE
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |