Barnechea vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
COL
11%
18%
71%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 2
COQ
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
COL
5 - 5
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NTA
2 - 3
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 1
NTA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COQ
5 - 0
NTA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |