Barnechea vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CUR
2 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 0
LOT
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
NTA
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
NTA
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
CUR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
DEP
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |