Barnechea vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
COB
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CSD
3 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAG
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 2
CDM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 2
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
CDM
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
USF
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |