Barnechea vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAU
3 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 3
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
BAR
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAU
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CDM
4 - 0
PIN
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
CDM
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 3
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 0
CDM
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |