Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ALT
1 - 0
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 3
VHG
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 0
BAR
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
3 - 0
COH
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CLO
3 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
STP
0 - 2
AHA
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MEP
2 - 0
STP
65%
20%
14%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
STP
2 - 2
ENO
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 2
STP
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
STP
3 - 1
BER
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |