Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
AHA
0 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 0
ITZ
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
POB
0 - 1
BAR
28%
25%
46%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 0
WOL
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
ISC
3 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
LUB
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
OWI
1 - 1
FCP
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
CEL
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
FCP
2 - 2
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
AHA
0 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |