Barking vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barking
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
BUR
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 2
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
FEL
3 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
YEL
61%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TIL
3 - 1
YEL
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 2
YEL
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
YEL
2 - 0
HEY
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 0
BRE
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |