SSC Bari U19 vs Perugia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
11º
38
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 1
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAL
54%
20%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
TER
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CCS
2 - 1
BAR
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
MNP
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PER
2 - 4
PES
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 3
PER
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PER
4 - 2
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
SPE
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |