SSC Bari U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
11º
22
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 3
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CES
4 - 0
BAR
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
VIR
39%
22%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MNP
1 - 0
BAR
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
CCS
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 2
SPE
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
CRO
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 3
NAP
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 1
CRO
70%
19%
12%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 3
BEN
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |