SSC Bari U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
44.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
11º
70
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 5
SPE
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PES
1 - 2
BAR
37%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
ASC
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PER
5 - 3
BAR
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
2 - 2
CES
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 0
PAR
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +5 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SPE
23%
21%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |