Bahrain vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NPL
0 - 5
BHR
8%
19%
74%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 3
JPN
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
JOR
0 - 1
BHR
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 0
MAS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
KOR
3 - 1
BHR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NPL
0 - 5
BHR
8%
19%
74%
|
36 | 74 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MAS
5 - 1
NPL
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
NPL
0 - 2
YEM
22%
24%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
UAE
4 - 0
NPL
89%
9%
2%
|
38 | 79 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LAO
0 - 1
NPL
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |