WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 4-1
Bahrain vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 0
LBY
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
BHR
3 - 1
SGP
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
BHR
1 - 3
JOR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
KSA
4 - 0
BHR
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 1
KOR
9%
18%
73%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 2
IRN
3%
12%
85%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 5
UZB
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 5
CHN
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 2
JAM
18%
25%
58%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 3
NPL
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |