Bahrain vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
BHR
1 - 0
QAT
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
BHR
1 - 2
UAE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BHR
0 - 0
OMA
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
OMA
1 - 0
BHR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
BHR
1 - 1
SYR
43%
24%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
YEM
0 - 2
IRQ
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
IRQ
1 - 0
KWT
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
KSA
0 - 2
IRQ
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 1
IRQ
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
IRQ
0 - 1
SYR
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |