Bahrain vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
BHR
5 - 0
TJK
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
OMA
2 - 1
BHR
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
BHR
0 - 1
SYR
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
BHR
0 - 0
CHN
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
BHR
1 - 1
PHL
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
AUS
3 - 0
LBN
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
UZB
0 - 0
LBN
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LBN
0 - 0
OMA
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
JOR
0 - 1
LBN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
LBN
2 - 1
MAS
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |