Baré EC vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 3
SAO
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAO
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
ARO
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
ARO
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAO
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
FAS
4 - 0
HOL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
FAS
0 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
FAS
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
FAS
3 - 2
SAO
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
FAS
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |