Baré EC vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAO
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
BAR
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 2
BAR
38%
21%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECM
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 2
ECM
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 3
RIO
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |