Bardon Latrobe vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
74.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points