Bardena vs Uncastillo J analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+175%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LUC
3 - 5
BAR
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LUN
2 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 5
ALE
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UNC
2 - 2
BAR
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BIO
2 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UNC
2 - 3
LUN
17%
18%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 2
UNC
42%
21%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PRA
5 - 2
UNC
31%
20%
49%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UNC
1 - 3
BIO
19%
18%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UNC
2 - 2
BAR
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |