Bardena vs Uncastillo J analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+350%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 5
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
PIN
34%
21%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
PUY
25%
20%
55%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 1
BAR
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
UNC
1 - 3
BOR
54%
19%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PUY
5 - 3
UNC
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UNC
1 - 7
NOV
46%
21%
32%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 5
UNC
46%
20%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
UNC
2 - 4
REM
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |