Bardena vs Uncastillo J analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+350%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 3
BAR
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
BIO
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LUN
2 - 0
BAR
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNC
2 - 4
PUY
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
UNC
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNC
3 - 6
REM
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
UNC
4 - 2
PRA
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UNC
5 - 0
ALE
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +3 |