Bardena vs Puyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MCD
2 - 3
BAR
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
EBC
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
BAR
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
UNC
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAN
23%
20%
57%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Puyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PUY
2 - 0
PIN
60%
18%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PUY
2 - 4
NOV
56%
20%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUN
4 - 1
PUY
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PUY
4 - 2
ALE
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 2
PUY
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |